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For shippers & BCOs

Put a number on exposure your CFO recognises.

Freight risk is treated as an operational line item until it becomes an earnings conversation. The Yield Scenario Engine models disruption in the same language a treasury desk already uses for currency and commodity risk.

Scenario ExposureMODEL
Hormuz closure · 30d
Network-wide impact
+18–30%
Red Sea diversion
Sustained
+12–20%
Taiwan Strait tension
Escalation
+22–35%
Port congestion
Regional
+8–15%
YIELD SCENARIO ENGINEILLUSTRATIVE
+18–30%
Modelled freight cost impact of a 30-day Hormuz closure
41
Corridors modelled against your lane mix
14
Downstream effects traced per scenario
3wks
Lead time demonstrated on the Hormuz escalation
The problem

Freight risk lives outside the boardroom until it doesn't

Procurement teams are increasingly asked to quantify freight exposure the way treasury quantifies currency or commodity risk. Most do not have the tooling to answer credibly, because the forward-looking intelligence layer simply does not exist in the standard stack.

Scenario modelling

Model the what-if before it happens

Stress-test your network against the disruption scenarios that actually matter to your lane mix — before they occur, not in the post-mortem.

  • 01Scenario-modelled cost exposure by corridor
  • 02Dollar figures, not risk ratings
  • 03Runs against your real lane mix
Scenario Exposure ModelMODEL
Hormuz closure · 30d
Network-wide freight cost
+18–30%
Red Sea diversion
Sustained rerouting
+12–20%
Taiwan Strait tension
Escalation scenario
+22–35%
Major port congestion
Regional event
+8–15%
MODELLED ON YOUR LANE MIXILLUSTRATIVE
Board reporting

Risk reporting leadership can act on

Translate corridor intelligence into the exposure language your CFO and board already use, with the assumptions visible and the confidence scored.

  • 01Board-ready exposure summaries
  • 02Assumptions and confidence exposed, not hidden
  • 03Supports sourcing and hedging decisions
Exposure Summary · Q3REPORT
Total lanes modelled
Active network
128
High-exposure lanes
Tension ≥ 80
11
Modelled cost at risk
30-day scenario
$4.2M
Mitigated via reroute
Modelled recovery
$2.9M
SCENARIO ENGINEILLUSTRATIVE
Proof point

A three-week head start on Hormuz

When tension escalated in the Strait of Hormuz, Lima Xi's cascade model flagged corridor risk roughly three weeks ahead of market-wide impact — enough lead time to act before it became common knowledge.

Read the full case study →
Lead time · Hormuz escalationBACKTEST
Lima Xi flags corridor risk
Cascade model trigger
T−21d
Fuel pressure forecast
11 corridors affected
T−20d
Market reprices
Observed rate movement
T+0
Actionable lead time
Window to reposition
~3 wks
HISTORICAL BACKTESTILLUSTRATIVE
Frequently asked

Questions from your desk

If yours is not here, ask us directly.

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How does Lima Xi help large shippers and BCOs?

The Yield Scenario Engine models the P&L impact of geopolitical disruption scenarios before they materialise, turning freight risk into a quantified board-level conversation rather than an operational footnote.

Is this a procurement tool or a risk management tool?

Both. Lima Xi serves CFO and CPO stakeholders directly, translating corridor-level intelligence into dollar-denominated exposure and mitigation options relevant to sourcing and budget decisions.

Can Lima Xi model our specific trade lanes?

Yes. During the design partner phase Lima Xi prioritises corridor coverage based on your actual supply chain exposure.

How accurate are the scenario figures?

Scenario ranges are modelled from historical cascade behaviour and current corridor conditions, and every forecast carries a confidence score. They are decision-support ranges, not point predictions.

Put a number on your exposure.

Model your real corridor risk with the founding team.